From the
Executive Director

Balancing the Scales
by Alvin P. Kressler III

Letters to
the Editor

On the first research departments, Harry Markopolos
by Heath McLendon,
Bud Haslett

Hot Zones
Plug In and Play:
The Current Is Flowing in
Electric Grid Investing

by Susan Arterian Chang

Hot Zones
Refactoring Research:
Analysts and Asset Managers Confront the New Model for Information

by Penny Herscher

Worldview
On the Shores of the Black Sea:
Will Romania’s Economy
Sink or Swim?

by Bruce Chadwick

Careers
Wearing Two Hats:
Transitioning into the Personal Financial Planning Sector

by Daniel D. Olson

Careers
Breathing Room:
Entrepreneurism and HR Outsourcing

by Rob Giuffrida and
Mary Cunningham

Case Study
The Ghost of Credit Past: The Specter of the Heilig-Meyers Fiasco Haunts Today’s Failed Lenders
by Tom Arnold and
Bonnie Buchanan

Interview
The Great Divide: Talking to
Lee Cooperman about Buy-Side
and Sell-Side Research

by Lori Pizzani

Book Reviews
Extending the Canon:
New Titles

by Kathleen Traynor DeRose, Peter Brush, Boriana Handjiyska, Thomas Wilkins, Sean Hannon, Chris Hazelton, Paul Tanner

Final Analysis
Two Cartoons
by Karl Wimer

Article Archive
Volume 2, Number 2, Spring 2009

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Cover Story
Danse Macabre: The Banking and Brokerage Sectors
Reel from Crisis to Crisis

by Amy E. Buttell
What will US banking and brokerage institutions look like in the next five or ten years? How can institutions and investors anticipate the alien landscape to be wrought by regulators and competitors desperate to reshape risk parameters and business strategies? This speculative feature takes a crystal ball approach to the future of the industry, in which economists, historians, writers, lawyers, executives, and analysts each have a fortune to tell. Some call for changes to capital requirements and liquidity ratios; others warn against a bloated, inefficient regulatory superpower, glutted with a surfeit of responsibilities. If the fate of the universal banking model looks grim indeed, there may be better news in store for locally based lenders who cross the gypsy’s palm with silver.

Features
Don’t Shoot the Messenger:
The Unfair Attack on
Fair Value Accounting

by Neil A. O’Hara
The debate over mark to market has grown increasingly heated, nudging fair-value accounting principles out into the spotlight of public scrutiny—or toward the fierce light that beats upon the scaffold. The clash of priorities culiminated (but didn’t terminate) in early April, when the Financial Accounting Standards Board bowed to Congressional presure and implemented rule changes for banks’ valuation of securities. Neil O’Hara suggests that those fighting for valuations based on historical cost are either blind to the centrality of regulatory capital calculations in the current crisis, or are engaged in a desperate bid to deflect blame onto a bevy of bewildered auditors.
Bonus material! An alternate take on fair-market valuation warns of the perpetual threat of illiquid markets. From Tom Arnold, John Earl, and Michael Weiss of the University of Richmond.


Crisis Mode:
Modern Porfolio Theory
under Pressure

by Harry M. Markowitz
Nobel Prize-winner Harry Markowitz is widely acknowledged as the father of modern portfolio theory, or MPT. In this paper, he defends MPT against those who argue that it falls short in periods of economic turbulence, and takes a keen, critical look at William Sharpe’s simplified model of portfolio theory. Markowitz’s investigation into the functioning of MPT in crisis mode is rigorous and detailed, carefully examining the alphas, betas, and the variances of the idiosyncratic terms of securities, while his style is as inimitable, wry, and no-nonsense as ever. This timely reappraisal of one of the seminal principles of investment is also a lively defense of diversification, and a must-read for those who feel that recent events have rewritten all the rules.

Hive Mind:
Organizational Psychology and the Origins of the Financial Crisis
by Marlene Givant Star
When we study the current financial catastrophe, we tend to examine misapplication of models, exploitative lending practices, indefensible ratings systems, securitization that obscured the low quality of assets in the pools, shabby regulation from above and within, and the assumption of lunatic levels of risk. But we must also ask how we allowed ourselves to trust these models, issue loans to borrowers with abysmal credit, implicitly believe the ratings agencies, and assume—even embrace—the risk. TIP investigates the psychology of bankers, analysts, and brokers—and of the corporations themselves. Our psychoanalysis of the companies and individuals that participated in the run-up to the meltdown reveals the emotional triggers that pushed us to inflate the credit bubble past bursting point, and shows how corporate policies deactivated the fear and shame reactions that should protect us from ourselves.

The New You:
The Future of Securities Analysis
by Lori Pizzani
In our Winter 2009 issue, Charley Ellis offered a retrospective of how the securities analyst evolved from a marginalized beancounter to a powerful—sometimes too powerful—and essential figure in the finance industry. Now, in our upcoming spring issue, a roundtable of experts drawn from the fields of market strategy, global research, independent research, and more debates the future of securities analysis. Will sell-side research lose its shine? Will research make a definitive split into retail and institutional sectors? Is the predominance of independent research now all but inevitable? How will the globalization of research change the skill sets required of analysts? Our panel of insiders may not agree on the answers, but the questions they’re asking are crucial for those readers who are seeing their worlds change right before their eyes.

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