| ARTICLE ARCHIVE |

In This Issue
Cover Story
Danse Macabre:
The Banking and Brokerage Sectors Reel from Crisis to Crisis

Features
Don’t Shoot the Messenger:
The Unfair Attack on
Fair Value Accounting

Crisis Mode:
Modern Porfolio Theory
under Pressure

Hive Mind:
Organizational Psychology and the Origins of the Financial Crisis

The New You:
The Future of Securities Analysis

Departments
From the
Executive Director

Balancing the Scales

Letters to
the Editor

On the first research departments, Harry Markopolos

Hot Zones
Plug In and Play:
The Current Is Flowing in
Electric Grid Investing

Hot Zones
Refactoring Research:
Analysts and Asset Managers Confront the New Model for
Information

Worldview
On the Shores of the Black Sea:
Will Romania’s
Economy Sink or Swim?

Careers
Wearing Two Hats:
Transitioning into the Personal Financial Planning Sector

Careers
Breathing Room:
Entrepreneurism and HR Outsourcing

Case Study
The Ghost of Credit Past: The Specter of the Heilig-Meyers Fiasco Haunts Today’s Failed Lenders

Interview
The Great Divide: Talking to
Lee Cooperman about Buy-Side
and Sell-Side Research

Book Reviews
Extending the Canon:
New Titles

Final Analysis
Two Cartoons

Danse Macabre
The Banking and Brokerage Sectors Reel from Crisis to Crisis
| BACK TO MAIN ARTICLE |

The Experts

James Barth, PhD, Lowder Eminent Scholar in Finance at the Auburn University School of Business

“The majority of evidence suggests that government-run banks are run less efficiently than private-sector banks, which have lower costs and allocate capital better. I think nationalizing banks and having the government run banks is certainly the last resort.”

James Barth, PhD, Lowder Eminent Scholar in Finance at the Auburn University School of Business

Ballard Campbell, PhD, professor of history and public policy at Northeastern University

“Anger and anxiety are the crucible of financial depressions and recessions that stir up support for change and reform to put the wraps on some of the bad practices that people see happening. These significant economic instabilities have the capacity to shift society in new directions.”

Ballard Campbell, PhD, professor of history and public policy at Northeastern University

Harry Dent Jr., CEO of HS Dent

“The financial institutions that will survive are the ones with cash, cash flow, and credit. If you’ve got these three things you are going to survive even if your earnings are down, even if your sales are down. You’re going to get market share and a market position you couldn’t have gotten anywhere near as early in a boom competing against strong companies.”

Harry Dent Jr., CEO of HS Dent

chad soriano

Morris Goldstein, Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics

  • Author of Financial Regulation after the Subprime and Credit Crisis (Peterson Institute 2009) and The Case for an International Banking Standard (Peterson Institute 1997)
  • Former deputy director of the research department at the International Monetary Fund

“I think there will be some streamlining of the US regulatory structure so you won’t have as many banking supervisors. Firms may find that it is not to their liking because they won’t be able to do so much regulatory shopping from one jurisdiction to another.”

Morris Goldstein, Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics

Brian Hamburger, JD, founder and managing director of MarketCounsel

  • Trains state securities examiners on behalf of the North American Securities Administrators Association
  • Former law clerk in the enforcement division of the SEC
  • Holds the Certified Regulatory and Compliance Professional™ designation from the Wharton School and the Accredited Investment Fiduciary Analyst® designation from the Center for Fiduciary Studies

“I think a lot of the recent banking transactions that have occurred, the business combinations, the mergers and acquisitions have really proven the theory that the whole growth-by-acquisition model is a failed model. Also, this one-stop shopping model, where banking customers are going to somehow rely on their banks for anything and everything they need has failed. This only makes sense if you are a trusted provider of services, and banks are suffering from major trust abuse.”

Brian Hamburger, JD, founder and managing director of MarketCounsel

Iftekhar Hasan, PhD, Cary L. Wellington Professor of Finance, Lally School of Management and Technology, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

“During the process of working through this crisis, we foresee a large number of consolidations taking place. In these consolidations, in the end, there will be new banks coming up. Some of them will be match-made and even created by the influence of the government.”

Iftekhar Hasan, PhD, Cary L. Wellington Professor of Finance, Lally School of Management and Technology, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute

rensselaer polytechnic institute

John Jackson, CEO of Lending Cycle, Inc.

  • Author of articles on banking and finance system efficiencies
  • Former executive vice president of First Bank

“More regulation is coming. The reality is, though, that bankers need to stop being so reactive and to do more to fix our own problems internally and change to a completely new model of doing business more efficiently.”

John Jackson, CEO of Lending Cycle

Michael Nichols, principal consultant and Six Sigma Senior Master Black Belt at Nichols Quality Associates

“Banks need to start asking themselves about any potential strategy: not just ‘Is it a moneymaker?’ but ‘Is it consistent with our overall strategy as an organization?’ I think when people look back at the history lesson from this crisis, they are going to look at a lot of bad choices that weren’t very strategic—banks were following the market rather than looking at where they wanted to be in the market.”

Michael Nichols, principal consultant and Six Sigma Senior Master Black Belt at Nichols Quality Associates

Robert Pearce, JD, principal attorney at the Law Offices of Robert Wayne Pearce

  • Mediator with the Florida Supreme Court and the National Association of Securities Dealers
  • Former SEC staff attorney

“The root of this problem, in my opinion, was that the repeal of the Glass–Steagall Act allowed institutions to become too big to fail. Because these institutions already exist I don’t see that legislation being undone, but I do think that all of these financial institutions will have to come under one regulator so that credit risk will be better managed.”

Robert Pearce, JD, principal attorney at the Law Offices of Robert Wayne Pearce

Jaime Peters, CFA, CPA, senior banking industry stock analyst with Morningstar

  • Former equity analyst with State Farm Insurance Company
  • Earned an MBA from the University of Chicago

“We are going to come out of this with a more consolidated banking market, one with less investment banking. Besides that, the massive changes are going to be more structural, such as that banks will be required to hold more capital. There will be more stringent rules associated with the risks they are allowed to take.”

Jaime Peters, CFA, CPA, senior banking industry stock analyst with Morningstar

David Thetford, securities compliance principal analyst at Wolters Kluwer Financial Services

  • Former broker–dealer examiner for the National Association of Securities Dealers
  • Former compliance manager and officer at Morgan Stanley and Advanced Equities

“Just like there was a push on firms to get a compliance structure in place, now I expect to see regulatory requirements that firms take more steps to manage their risks, to make sure that firms are looking at, recognizing, and acting in accordance with managing their own risks.”

David Thetford, securities compliance principal analyst at Wolters Kluwer Financial Services

Tim Yeager, PhD, associate professor of finance and holder of the Arkansas Bankers Association Chair at the Walton Business College of the University of Arkansas

  • Research interests include the Arkansas banking industry, the Federal Reserve System, and universal banking
  • Former economist at the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis

“I believe our system will be better off and safer if we allow the universal banking model, but we regulate both pieces, not just the commercial banking side. If we can do that effectively then I think the synergies and the universal banking model will make our system stronger, not weaker.”

Tim Yeager, PhD, associate professor of finance and holder of the Arkansas Bankers Association Chair at the Walton Business College of the University of Arkansas

copyright © 2009 the new york society of security analysts, inc. all rights reserved. | contact