Danse Macabre
The Banking and Brokerage Sectors Reel from Crisis to Crisis
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The Experts
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James Barth, PhD, Lowder Eminent Scholar in Finance at the Auburn University School of Business
“The majority of evidence suggests that government-run banks are run less efficiently than private-sector banks, which have lower costs and allocate capital better. I think nationalizing banks and having the government run banks is certainly the last resort.” |
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Ballard Campbell, PhD, professor of history and public policy at Northeastern University
“Anger and anxiety are the crucible of financial depressions and recessions that stir up support for change and reform to put the wraps on some of the bad practices that people see happening. These significant economic instabilities have the capacity to shift society in new directions.” |
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Harry Dent Jr., CEO of HS Dent
“The financial institutions that will survive are the ones with cash, cash flow, and credit. If you’ve got these three things you are going to survive even if your earnings are down, even if your sales are down. You’re going to get market share and a market position you couldn’t have gotten anywhere near as early in a boom competing against strong companies.” |
chad soriano |
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Morris Goldstein, Dennis Weatherstone Senior Fellow at the Peterson Institute for International Economics
“I think there will be some streamlining of the US regulatory structure so you won’t have as many banking supervisors. Firms may find that it is not to their liking because they won’t be able to do so much regulatory shopping from one jurisdiction to another.” |
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Brian Hamburger, JD, founder and managing director of MarketCounsel
“I think a lot of the recent banking transactions that have occurred, the business combinations, the mergers and acquisitions have really proven the theory that the whole growth-by-acquisition model is a failed model. Also, this one-stop shopping model, where banking customers are going to somehow rely on their banks for anything and everything they need has failed. This only makes sense if you are a trusted provider of services, and banks are suffering from major trust abuse.” |
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Iftekhar Hasan, PhD, Cary L. Wellington Professor of Finance, Lally School of Management and Technology, Rensselaer Polytechnic Institute
“During the process of working through this crisis, we foresee a large number of consolidations taking place. In these consolidations, in the end, there will be new banks coming up. Some of them will be match-made and even created by the influence of the government.” |
rensselaer polytechnic institute |
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John Jackson, CEO of Lending Cycle, Inc.
“More regulation is coming. The reality is, though, that bankers need to stop being so reactive and to do more to fix our own problems internally and change to a completely new model of doing business more efficiently.” |
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Michael Nichols, principal consultant and Six Sigma Senior Master Black Belt at Nichols Quality Associates
“Banks need to start asking themselves about any potential strategy: not just ‘Is it a moneymaker?’ but ‘Is it consistent with our overall strategy as an organization?’ I think when people look back at the history lesson from this crisis, they are going to look at a lot of bad choices that weren’t very strategic—banks were following the market rather than looking at where they wanted to be in the market.” |
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Robert Pearce, JD, principal attorney at the Law Offices of Robert Wayne Pearce
“The root of this problem, in my opinion, was that the repeal of the Glass–Steagall Act allowed institutions to become too big to fail. Because these institutions already exist I don’t see that legislation being undone, but I do think that all of these financial institutions will have to come under one regulator so that credit risk will be better managed.” |
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Jaime Peters, CFA, CPA, senior banking industry stock analyst with Morningstar
“We are going to come out of this with a more consolidated banking market, one with less investment banking. Besides that, the massive changes are going to be more structural, such as that banks will be required to hold more capital. There will be more stringent rules associated with the risks they are allowed to take.” |
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David Thetford, securities compliance principal analyst at Wolters Kluwer Financial Services
“Just like there was a push on firms to get a compliance structure in place, now I expect to see regulatory requirements that firms take more steps to manage their risks, to make sure that firms are looking at, recognizing, and acting in accordance with managing their own risks.” |
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Tim Yeager, PhD, associate professor of finance and holder of the Arkansas Bankers Association Chair at the Walton Business College of the University of Arkansas
“I believe our system will be better off and safer if we allow the universal banking model, but we regulate both pieces, not just the commercial banking side. If we can do that effectively then I think the synergies and the universal banking model will make our system stronger, not weaker.” |
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