Cover Story
The Greater Fool Theory: Managing and Modeling Risk
by Neil A. O’Hara
In our expose of the snafus that plague the management of risk today, a tough-talking lineup of industry insiders speaks out about the widespread confusion attending the real function of VaR, the perils of ignoring the Monte Carlo simulation in calculating volatility, the fundamental flaws in risk models, and the false allure of the CDS. In this global game in which everyone wants to play on the same side, we all may end up losing.
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