Wither the Economy?
MCCAIN AND OBAMA STAKE OUT DIFFERING VISIONS
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The Experts
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Timothy Canova, JD, associate dean for academic affairs and Betty Hutton Williams Professor of International Economic Law at the Chapman University School of Law
“If I have to pick the one big economic issue I’d choose the value of the dollar. It’s in a precarious position. Talking about the dollar brings in an awful lot of other issues—the size of the trade deficit, and our trade, monetary, and regulatory policies. But from a purely monetary-policy perspective, no president is going to have much control over the dollar.” |
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Christopher Dolan, PhD, assistant professor of political science at Lebanon Valley College
“Two things are contributing to the budget deficit: entitlement spending and the way in which tax cuts deprived the federal government of trillions of dollars of revenue for financing things like Social Security. The next president must bring the budget deficit in line because it affects everything else.” |
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Don Dutkowsky, PhD, professor of economics at the Maxwell School of Citizenship and Public Affairs at Syracuse University
“The winning candidate must be able to formulate an energy policy of conservation with tax credits for increased efficiency in automobile manufacture and in usage of electricity and natural gas. Anything I’ve seen about drilling says oil is not going to address the issue.” |
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Richard Ebeling, PhD, senior fellow at the American Institute for Economic Research
“On the domestic front, the key issue facing the next president and the presidents after him is the rising cost of the US entitlement program. Social Security, Medicare, and Medicaid all represent trillions of dollars in financial commitments made by the United States government to a relatively aging population.” |
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Kent Gilbreath, PhD, professor of economics at Baylor University
“The biggest issue facing the economy is the deteriorating economic status of the middle and lower-middle classes. There has been a slow but very clear erosion of the purchasing power and the financial strength of the vast majority of Americans. It’s gone almost unnoticed except by that vast majority.” |
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Deborah Hewitt, PhD, clinical associate professor of economics at the Graduate School of Business Administration at the College of William and Mary
“The most critical issue facing the economy is the budget deficit. Unfortunately the candidates are not being asked about it and it is not being talked about except in snippets here and there. The US government is as broke as the homeowners who are facing foreclosure on their homes. We have to get our fiscal house in order and this needs to be the number one priority.” |
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Jim Horney, PhD, director of federal fiscal policy at the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities
“Obama and McCain seem to share a general approach to climate-change policy. That is primarily viewed as an environmental policy but it is also a major economic policy. If you use a cap-and-trade system or a carbon tax to limit carbon you create a new resource that can bring very, very large amounts of money to the federal government.” |
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Sherry L. Jarrell, PhD, lecturer in economics at the Calloway School of Business and Accountancy of Wake Forest University
“National defense should be the first priority. Enforcing the laws and keeping us safe is how to grow our economy. And whoever gets into office should minimize the cost of doing business, minimize regulation, minimize tariffs for any kind of international trade, and ensure that we have a well-functioning capital market. These are the key responsibilities of the federal government.” |
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Lori Kletzer, PhD, professor of economics at the University of California, Santa Cruz
“I find Obama a much more interesting person to think about. If there is a standard Democratic orthodoxy (which I’m not sure there is), he is not it. He’s got a healthy dose of respect for the free market. The notion of a University of Chicago Democrat is an interesting one.” |
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Robert Kyle, JD, partner with Hogan & Hartson’s International Trade practice
“One thing worth keeping in mind is the kind of economic environment the new president will find himself in. When the global economy is expanding and countries are doing well, they are more interested in foreign investment and trade. In a slowing global economy, you see more trade restrictions as countries cling to what they’ve got. That hurts US exports and becomes a breeding ground for protectionism.” |
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Ronald Rizzuto, PhD, professor of finance and codirector of the Reiman School of Finance at the University of Denver’s Daniels College of Business
“Because of all the spending we’ve been doing, neither candidate will have enough freedom to put in new policies or programs because that will just worsen the size of the budget deficit. But it would be a disaster to raise taxes, such as the capital-gains taxes, because it would affect so much investment spending.” |
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Mark Zandi, PhD, chief economist and cofounder of Moody’s Economy.com
“The key issues are fiscal. How will the candidates address the daunting fiscal situation? The arithmetic is worrisome. We are going to have very large budget deficits in the future and that economic problem will need to be addressed. The key difference is in each candidate’s approach to the deficit: fundamentally, you can either raise taxes or cut spending.” |
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